dixiedox
0x86c11bb80168e0bad9dc571d5f3aa429c3c4cace
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $1.33M
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$680.27at 0.903Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$439.73at 0.833Up Only podcast released by October 31?
- +$329.92at 0.938Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$302.64at 0.380Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$249.65at 0.992Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 16:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.901 | $360.40 |
| 08-21 23:14 | Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4078484927 | $31.66 |
| 08-21 23:14 | Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.142393572 | $75.76 |
| 08-21 19:18 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.3k |
| 08-19 16:33 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7632816773 | $83.73 |
| 08-19 16:32 | Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3166090442 | $1.2k |
| 08-19 16:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $42.16 |
| 08-19 16:01 | Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6633211164 | $117.64 |
| 08-19 15:51 | Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.765 | $45.90 |
| 08-18 05:19 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $500.00 |
| 08-14 04:11 | Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $51.15 |
| 08-14 04:11 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8907337605 | $283.57 |
| 08-11 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.84 |
| 08-06 18:56 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.11 | $78.91 |
| 08-04 05:28 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | SELL | 0.94315 | $94.31 |