PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dixiedox

0x86c11bb80168e0bad9dc571d5f3aa429c3c4cace

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7150.920$2.3k+$509.24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$1.2k+$45.65
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9280.951$1.2k+$29.26
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5800.635$889.00+$77.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8800.895$508.52+$8.52
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0590.116$85.88+$42.01
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4440.715$57.73+$21.90
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1280.075$42.16$29.06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$22.20
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.8480.000$0.00$254.39
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? · No0.0800.000$0.00$240.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.6410.000$0.00$82.93
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.7410.000$0.00$89.29
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4800.000$0.00$9.60
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$379.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 16:52Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.901$360.40
08-21 23:14Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4078484927$31.66
08-21 23:14Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.142393572$75.76
08-21 19:18Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.87$1.3k
08-19 16:33Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7632816773$83.73
08-19 16:32Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3166090442$1.2k
08-19 16:01Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.78$42.16
08-19 16:01Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6633211164$117.64
08-19 15:51Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.765$45.90
08-18 05:19Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8799999999$500.00
08-14 04:11Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$51.15
08-14 04:11Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8907337605$283.57
08-11 19:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.001$0.84
08-06 18:56Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.11$78.91
08-04 05:28Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?SELL0.94315$94.31