JC180
0x866e22686d5327c5b826f4e61124c41126612bec
- Realised P&L
- $-138.02
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $59.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.45at 0.084Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$11.45at 0.084Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$10.08at 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$10.07at 0.094Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$9.11at 0.180Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:26 | Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:26 | Will Peloton (PTON) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:25 | Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:24 | Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:24 | Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:24 | Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1592039801 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:23 | Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0739999973 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:23 | Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:23 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:22 | Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0729999954 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:20 | Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:19 | Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0989999912 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:19 | Will PJT Partners (PJT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:18 | Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 02:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |