PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JC180

0x866e22686d5327c5b826f4e61124c41126612bec

Realised P&L
$-124.87
Volume
$16.8k
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$58.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.936$10.03+$7.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4500.825$9.17+$4.17
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.949$5.21+$0.21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5800.595$5.13+$0.13
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.054$3.66$1.34
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2830.134$2.36$2.64
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9200.969$2.11+$0.11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2470.160$1.94$1.06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.595$1.92+$0.92
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.2400.065$1.35$3.65
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0400.026$1.31$0.69
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7000.895$1.28+$0.28
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · No0.7000.865$1.24+$0.24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.054$1.14+$0.14
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9040.945$1.05+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 02:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.449999955$5.00
07-23 12:36Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4739999844$10.00
07-20 15:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0670000051$1.00
07-18 02:49Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$5.48
07-18 02:47France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-07 10:51Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-07 07:40Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0529999513$1.00
07-07 07:39Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-07 07:28Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-07 07:28Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.619999969$2.00
07-07 07:28Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
07-04 04:14Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.33999983$1.00
07-04 04:14Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-04 04:14Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.4$1.00
07-04 04:13Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.54$1.00