JC180
0x866e22686d5327c5b826f4e61124c41126612bec
- Realised P&L
- $-124.87
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $58.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.45at 0.084Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$11.45at 0.084Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$10.08at 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$10.07at 0.094Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$9.11at 0.180Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 02:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 12:36 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4739999844 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 15:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0670000051 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 02:49 | Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.48 |
| 07-18 02:47 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 10:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 07:40 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0529999513 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 07:39 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 07:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 07:28 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 07:28 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 04:14 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 04:14 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 04:14 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 04:13 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |