PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JC180

0x866e22686d5327c5b826f4e61124c41126612bec

Realised P&L
$-138.02
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
298
Open portfolio
$59.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded298
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.951$10.19+$7.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4500.885$9.83+$4.83
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.967$5.31+$0.31
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5800.565$4.87−$0.13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.705$2.27+$1.27
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.034$2.25−$2.75
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9200.970$2.11+$0.11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2470.154$1.88−$1.12
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0840.154$1.84+$0.84
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2830.097$1.71−$3.29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.3000.445$1.48+$0.48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7000.945$1.35+$0.35
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · No0.7000.930$1.33+$0.33
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? · Yes0.1870.105$1.12−$0.88
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9040.980$1.08+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 16:26Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1$1.00
10-26 16:26Will Peloton (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.08$1.00
10-26 16:25Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-26 16:24Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-26 16:24Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0839999993$1.00
10-26 16:24Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1592039801$1.00
10-26 16:23Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0739999973$1.00
10-26 16:23Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-26 16:23Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-26 16:22Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0729999954$1.00
10-26 16:20Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-26 16:19Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0989999912$1.00
10-26 16:19Will PJT Partners (PJT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-26 16:18Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.16$1.00
07-29 02:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.449999955$5.00