PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

heathrow

0x8661dd6b5d8e35b1605e12ed1da9d7bbb229fb57

Realised P&L
$127.18
Volume
$30.0k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$47.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2100.095$19.00−$23.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.125$8.33−$1.67
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.5900.465$7.88−$2.12
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1600.125$7.81−$2.19
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1880.032$2.55−$12.45
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2200.029$1.98−$13.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$10.00
Argentina leading at halftime? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$150.00
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$18.60
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? · No0.2920.000$0.00−$11.80
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti · Lorenzo Musetti0.7800.000$0.00−$28.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar · Taylor Fritz0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 11:29Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Botic van de ZandschulpBUY0.7799999952$100.00
10-12 11:28Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?SELL0.9$54.00
10-09 12:15Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.909909009$500.00
10-09 12:12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo MusettiBUY0.7799999978$28.00
10-07 01:13Utah vs. DevilsBUY0.9$29.00
10-07 01:05Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.999$294.17
10-07 00:37Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.901$265.31
10-06 22:07Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-06 21:42Argentina leading at halftime?BUY0.91$100.00
10-06 21:39Argentina leading at halftime?BUY0.9099999991$50.00
10-06 21:24Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 8.5BUY0.8874873456$250.00
10-05 21:57Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.8299999997$75.00
10-05 21:57Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.8299999995$72.00
10-04 12:21China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.7799999948$27.00
10-04 12:20China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.7799999979$52.00