PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8635a467459281d2d5c5a3e2d8a876f9031b620b

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$23.2k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$520.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9100.900$197.80$2.20
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5100.520$91.69+$1.69
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6460.790$75.81+$13.81
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5420.685$63.15+$13.15
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026? · No0.9810.980$59.98$0.06
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2000.185$18.50$1.50
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6900.400$11.59$8.41
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0130.011$2.47$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 02:35Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$12.00
09-14 18:28Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.9805477781$60.04
09-14 18:26Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
09-14 18:23Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0133715803$3.00
09-14 18:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.91$200.00
09-14 18:10Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6175984684$50.00
09-14 18:08Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5104228293$90.00
09-14 18:06Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5423389188$50.00
09-14 18:05Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2$20.00
06-22 02:34Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.9375701628$396.81
06-20 15:53Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.9308245492$241.07
06-19 13:51Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.3319498378$28.65
06-19 11:16Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.2386209094$82.40
06-19 10:55Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5415156463$449.03
06-18 08:51Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.8712672899$601.71