0x86065d8459038c41c4834fe594397d0bb3a95913
0x86065d8459038c41c4834fe594397d0bb3a95913
- Realised P&L
- $3.09
- Volume
- $239.84
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $3.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.330 | 0.470 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.780 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.195 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.145 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:33 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:53 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:01 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:17 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:16 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:57 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:22 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:02 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:02 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |