0x8605a7c91f1a6a2e1c6e29a0af8443052e25aa83
- Realised P&L
- $527.57
- Volume
- $108.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.090 | $5.3k | +$866.71 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.135 | $4.2k | +$532.25 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.440 | 0.445 | $1.3k | +$13.06 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.312 | 0.254 | $1.2k | −$280.20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.940 | 0.845 | $898.94 | −$101.06 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.278 | $111.23 | +$11.23 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.085 | $4.72 | −$5.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.94at 0.634Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-999.99at 0.162Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0896227881 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 23:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4499999995 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 22:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4380624932 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 22:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 22:06 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 15:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1380434982 | $500.00 |
| 07-23 06:46 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0813387774 | $500.00 |
| 07-14 20:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.9518482554 | $1.5k |
| 07-09 09:11 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0754325892 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 09:11 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0749999932 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:20 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0781813845 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 20:05 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.077039015 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 20:04 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.075546726 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 18:10 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0769671443 | $1.0k |
| 07-07 18:10 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0759999997 | $300.00 |