0x8605a7c91f1a6a2e1c6e29a0af8443052e25aa83
0x8605a7c91f1a6a2e1c6e29a0af8443052e25aa83
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $120.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $18.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.126 | $7.5k | +$2.9k |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.160 | $5.0k | +$1.3k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.497 | 0.637 | $4.5k | +$984.78 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.440 | 0.430 | $1.2k | −$29.51 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.220 | $87.98 | −$12.02 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.215 | $59.85 | −$60.15 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.312 | 0.002 | $1.22 | −$251.85 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$473.85at 0.644Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.83at 0.945Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$-1.0kat 0.167Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:38 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5273404636 | $1000.00 |
| 09-07 03:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.13630727 | $545.23 |
| 09-03 15:29 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.485987755 | $2.5k |
| 08-19 06:02 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3913894325 | $20.00 |
| 08-15 06:14 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 20:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0899315924 | $48.38 |
| 08-04 20:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0884753035 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 11:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0896227881 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 23:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4499999995 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 22:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4380624932 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 22:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 22:06 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 15:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1380434982 | $500.00 |
| 07-23 06:46 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0813387774 | $500.00 |
| 07-14 20:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.9518482554 | $1.5k |