Bet010
0x85f6046be713f8c219fb2b99bfd3cf510e1903ec
- Realised P&L
- $-60.10
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $125.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.05at 0.825Will Argentina win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.26at 0.950Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.977Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.990Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?
- +$-1.25at 0.270Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 04:31 | Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 00:47 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.03 |
| 09-02 09:20 | Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.71 |
| 09-02 09:18 | Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.70 |
| 09-02 09:18 | Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026? | SELL | 0.0033489892 | $1.76 |
| 07-17 12:04 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.11 |
| 07-17 11:21 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.89 |
| 07-17 06:35 | Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.26 |
| 07-16 00:24 | Will Argentina win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.818 | $4.90 |