L.A-justin
0x85d4d08d2bdfef24842586bce1ae3a8c3d0c48ac
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $646.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.024 | $3.6k | −$1.2k |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.011 | $3.91 | +$1.64 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.78 |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$756.09 |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$630.00 |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$897.95 |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$240.50 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 23:47 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.96 |
| 10-09 08:55 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.035 | $997.10 |
| 10-09 08:26 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.034 | $586.32 |
| 10-09 08:17 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0336185548 | $850.00 |
| 10-09 07:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.031 | $9.84 |
| 10-09 07:57 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0305884647 | $800.00 |
| 10-09 07:43 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.029 | $909.04 |
| 10-09 05:11 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.056 | $89.01 |
| 10-09 03:49 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.028 | $227.95 |
| 10-09 03:34 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 02:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.027 | $370.40 |
| 10-09 02:28 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $90.00 |
| 10-09 00:18 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $120.00 |
| 10-08 13:49 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.167 | $83.50 |
| 10-08 11:50 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $73.64 |