BlondBeast
0x852a61deac7872fff2c6a80ee82c059d6a8d3188
- Realised P&L
- $25.2k
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 2,046
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,046
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.244Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$850.51at 0.672Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$790.66at 0.225Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
- +$758.48at 0.768Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
- +$648.27at 0.288Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:01 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8758015267 | $13.77 |
| 09-20 16:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $33.60 |
| 09-20 16:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7527710843 | $62.48 |
| 09-20 16:00 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%? | BUY | 0.494 | $12.35 |
| 09-20 15:56 | Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%? | BUY | 0.29 | $9.51 |
| 09-20 15:55 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-20 15:54 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.608 | $6.08 |
| 09-20 15:06 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-20 12:43 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%? | BUY | 0.2379591837 | $11.66 |
| 09-18 22:24 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8413775708 | $195.14 |
| 09-18 22:19 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $276.00 |
| 09-18 22:19 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.908 | $45.40 |
| 09-18 22:19 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9022088041 | $46.32 |
| 09-18 20:38 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his announcement on healthcare? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 20:38 | Will Trump say "Insurance" during his announcement on healthcare? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |