PolyBot

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Traders

BlondBeast

0x852a61deac7872fff2c6a80ee82c059d6a8d3188

Realised P&L
$25.2k
Volume
$1.00M
Markets traded
2,046
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,046
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ? · No0.9480.970$4.6k+$105.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7830.835$3.3k+$208.01
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9010.964$772.09+$50.37
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.9250.995$754.96+$52.97
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? · No0.9800.978$391.20$0.80
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · No0.9800.989$345.98+$2.98
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.815$326.00+$14.00
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.9590.988$316.00+$9.10
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026? · Yes0.7510.770$242.67+$5.92
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes0.9280.993$238.32+$15.67
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.8201.000$199.90+$35.90
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8000.970$193.90+$33.90
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5540.125$130.00$445.99
Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? · No0.5300.930$129.75+$55.81
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.6500.670$106.08+$3.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:01Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.8758015267$13.77
09-20 16:00Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.84$33.60
09-20 16:00Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.7527710843$62.48
09-20 16:00Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?BUY0.494$12.35
09-20 15:56Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?BUY0.29$9.51
09-20 15:55Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?BUY0.36$7.20
09-20 15:54Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?BUY0.608$6.08
09-20 15:06Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?BUY0.29$5.80
09-20 12:43Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?BUY0.2379591837$11.66
09-18 22:24Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?BUY0.8413775708$195.14
09-18 22:19Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$276.00
09-18 22:19Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?BUY0.908$45.40
09-18 22:19Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9022088041$46.32
09-18 20:38Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his announcement on healthcare?BUY0.99$4.95
09-18 20:38Will Trump say "Insurance" during his announcement on healthcare?BUY0.99$4.95