BlondBeast
0x852a61deac7872fff2c6a80ee82c059d6a8d3188
- Realised P&L
- $23.7k
- Volume
- $937.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,909
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,909
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.244Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$790.65at 0.225Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
- +$758.48at 0.768Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
- +$648.26at 0.288Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
- +$635.54at 0.510Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:28 | Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 18:47 | Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.09 |
| 08-03 18:32 | Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.99 | $53.22 |
| 08-03 18:10 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.999 | $190.94 |
| 08-03 18:08 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.999 | $164.84 |
| 08-03 17:35 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.9989544745 | $172.69 |
| 08-03 17:34 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.9976401779 | $325.28 |
| 08-03 16:40 | Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $209.78 |
| 08-03 16:34 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.81 | $70.04 |
| 07-25 02:40 | Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.36 |
| 07-25 02:19 | Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.00 |
| 07-25 02:14 | Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.4k |
| 07-25 02:07 | Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.3750814658 | $360.51 |
| 07-25 01:47 | Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | SELL | 0.76 | $69.85 |
| 07-25 01:43 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.78 |