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Traders

Niv44

0x85287331e1632d77b854ef3b0c20bff86c505a44

Realised P&L
$-19.22
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$30.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · Yes0.3500.395$11.29+$1.29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4320.512$5.93+$0.93
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4000.485$2.42+$0.42
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? · Yes0.1700.130$2.29$0.71
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.165$1.83$0.17
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$1.67$0.33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1770.088$1.50$1.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0900.065$1.44$0.56
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0780.052$1.35$0.65
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0800.024$0.88$2.12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.005$0.08$1.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$4.00
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 15:37Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.7635475508$55.96
08-09 19:05Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.6109999946$25.00
08-08 20:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSELL0.99$5.15
08-08 20:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.96$5.00
08-08 20:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.08$1.00
08-07 15:21Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-07 15:20Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-07 15:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.119999952$2.00
08-07 15:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.179999928$2.00
08-07 15:16Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1769999571$3.00
08-07 15:11Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4319999537$5.00
08-06 21:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1372503781$3.00
08-06 21:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
08-06 21:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSELL0.99$6.11
08-06 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.8099999741$5.00