realmgow
0x852640c74d84f2156b299ad6dcd9a9965f368d34
- Realised P&L
- $-3.58
- Volume
- $322.35
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $34.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.25at 0.160Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.76at 0.427Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27?
- +$1.44at 0.437Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?
- +$1.34at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:48 | Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31? | BUY | 0.2299999595 | $1.08 |
| 09-21 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6599996848 | $1.34 |
| 09-21 22:56 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.46599983 | $1.19 |
| 09-21 14:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.39 |
| 09-20 00:18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.3299999639 | $1.19 |
| 09-20 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4499999217 | $1.15 |
| 09-20 00:08 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.7899998903 | $1.08 |
| 09-20 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.8299998893 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 01:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.37 |
| 09-19 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999209 | $1.74 |
| 09-19 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4199999414 | $1.29 |
| 09-19 00:46 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8699999446 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 23:21 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 20:11 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.31 |
| 09-18 09:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.47 |