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Traders

0x84fE37817a9797761d141977d0F12043F75B1222-1771632974077

0x84fe37817a9797761d141977d0f12043f75b1222

Realised P&L
$245.28
Volume
$16.2k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9430.980$311.61+$11.61
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · No0.8270.885$267.69+$17.69
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.7400.745$100.68+$0.68
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8000.805$100.63+$0.63
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · No0.9000.971$43.13+$3.13
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.255$42.50−$7.50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.9000.945$26.25+$1.25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8000.925$23.13+$3.13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2300.255$22.17+$2.17
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? · Yes0.0050.004$18.00−$2.00
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0080.011$13.75+$3.75
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0020.003$12.50+$2.50
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0090.010$11.11+$1.11
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.2300.255$11.09+$1.09
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0070.007$10.71+$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:02Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.009$10.00
10-31 19:58Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.007$10.00
10-31 19:56Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?BUY0.006$10.00
10-31 19:55Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?BUY0.005$10.00
10-31 19:54Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.008$10.00
10-31 19:41Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-31 19:39Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.004$10.00
10-31 19:39Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.008$10.00
10-31 19:39Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.002$10.00
10-31 19:37Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
10-31 19:34Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1069999999$10.00
10-31 19:33Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?BUY0.005$10.00
10-30 14:47Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.9$50.00
10-30 14:46Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2299999993$20.00
10-30 14:45US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.9$25.00
Trader 0x84fE37817a9797761d141977d0F12043F75B1222-1771632974077 · PolyBot Pro