PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

IntgTrd

0x84f947e419f3197b47154372d61fb2e76d613453

Realised P&L
$-313.88
Volume
$25.0k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · No0.7600.755$198.68−$1.32
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.7200.670$120.97−$9.03
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.6620.694$115.37+$5.37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.635$99.22−$0.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.6700.660$98.51−$1.49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.625$97.66−$2.34
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.1290.080$68.48−$41.52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.705$49.65−$0.35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.165$45.83−$4.17
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.6200.880$42.58+$12.58
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.3700.465$37.70+$7.70
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0650.063$31.68−$1.32
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1560.130$24.98−$5.02
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · No0.3140.390$24.86+$4.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.4000.395$24.69−$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 13:52Catania: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin MoellerBUY0.32$5.00
10-15 13:46Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
10-15 13:45Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.4$25.00
10-15 13:44Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.7599999992$200.00
10-15 13:38Roanne: Jerome Kym vs Ugo BlanchetBUY0.0599999995$5.00
10-15 13:37Catania: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin MoellerBUY0.3099999986$15.00
10-15 13:37Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice TjenBUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-15 13:36Mallorca: Tamara Zidansek vs Joelle SteurBUY0.2799999978$20.00
10-15 12:52Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice TjenBUY0.339999985$5.00
10-15 12:51Will PKR Svay Rieng vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-15 12:48Shanghai Rolex Masters (Doubles): Miedler/Oberleitner vs Polmans/ZielinskiBUY0.2170481437$25.00
10-15 12:44Catania: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Max WiskandtBUY0.576677184$100.00
10-15 12:11Catania: Pavel Lagutin vs Massimo GiuntaBUY0.5699999994$30.00
10-15 11:53Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir DzumhurBUY0.7899999999$200.00
10-15 11:53Roanne: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Otto VirtanenBUY0.73$100.00