PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

stu

0x84b0405daf1a56f7cda5720d1937fc03b22e5bc8

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$725.6k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$8.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 07:08Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.121$52.03
09-13 06:03Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.121$68.97
09-12 01:06Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?SELL0.59$29.50
09-10 04:03Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$10.40
09-08 10:38Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$11.40
09-05 10:33Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$43.69
09-05 00:55Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.56$22.40
09-03 04:55Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.991$495.50
09-01 15:35Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.025$97.50
08-31 03:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.973$194.60
08-31 03:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.975$23.18
08-27 07:50Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.982$491.00
08-17 23:17Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.38$14.44
08-17 23:17Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.35$35.00
08-13 23:24Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.036$15.76