PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

stu

0x84b0405daf1a56f7cda5720d1937fc03b22e5bc8

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$648.1k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:33Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?BUY0.45$2.25
07-30 04:3910.0 or above earthquake before 2027?SELL0.99$19.80
07-27 13:19Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.024$24.00
07-27 08:38Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?SELL0.97$54.97
07-27 00:07Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.956$478.00
07-25 23:559.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.913$4.57
07-25 05:469.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.912$2.7k
07-24 17:009.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.912$456.00
07-22 04:52Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.018$13.29
07-19 03:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.71$7.10
07-09 14:21Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.021095$4.22
07-06 22:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.63$44.10
07-04 02:15Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?SELL0.7007$70.07
06-29 22:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.865$30.27
06-28 23:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.15$1.50