DonationsReceiver
0x847667d84fc4d81db36689c4f4c5845c8d125418
- Realised P&L
- $47.2k
- Volume
- $8.63M
- Markets traded
- 405
- Open portfolio
- $83.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded405
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.6kat 0.026Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$45.0kat 0.499Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
- +$40.0kat 0.499Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$40.0kat 0.499Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$38.9kat 0.499Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:32 | Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? | SELL | 0.0343636364 | $1.89 |
| 10-31 18:16 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | BUY | 0.9599771109 | $1.3k |
| 10-30 22:56 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | BUY | 0.9552382783 | $954.28 |
| 10-28 13:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.47 | $213.57 |
| 10-28 13:10 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.007 | $28.59 |
| 10-28 12:41 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.007982195 | $45.14 |
| 10-26 14:24 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3019507503 | $301.65 |
| 10-26 02:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.0k |
| 10-26 00:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.991 | $11.0k |
| 10-25 23:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0879089886 | $1.1k |
| 10-23 19:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $966.92 |
| 10-23 19:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.2k |
| 10-23 17:25 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6087951395 | $3.4k |
| 10-23 17:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.2k |
| 10-23 17:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2046657298 | $415.06 |