PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bursted

0x843e32a367156a1e1e0193a36a04e41ae1b4d2f3

Realised P&L
$-28.7k
Volume
$492.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$75.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2310.360$66.7k+$24.0k
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.4440.215$4.6k$4.8k
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0230.016$1.1k$491.52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.5650.989$952.18+$408.35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.018$577.59+$38.24
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.022$441.34$20.13
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2910.021$372.82$4.7k
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.6720.768$333.43+$41.74
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.9200.964$49.16+$2.24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1500.005$40.59$1.1k
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1390.053$35.26$56.25
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0480.004$3.25$40.87
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$1.9k
Starmer out by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$456.18
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt0.3800.000$0.00$38.0k

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 10:22Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3628948282$3.2k
09-15 10:16Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0191151716$219.08
09-15 10:16Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0235270393$461.49
09-15 10:15Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.359282195$5.1k
09-15 09:59Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3548238171$1.1k
09-15 09:59Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3505782365$3.2k
09-02 15:41Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3499304842$5.5k
09-02 15:40Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.346679173$4.5k
09-02 15:14Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.021$65.31
09-02 15:14Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.337$978.54
09-02 13:06Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3394989425$735.16
09-02 13:06Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3347932105$524.07
09-02 13:04Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0218328063$99.90
09-02 13:04Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0189170359$120.09
09-02 13:02Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3320067496$1.6k