PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bursted

0x843e32a367156a1e1e0193a36a04e41ae1b4d2f3

Realised P&L
$-25.5k
Volume
$338.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$40.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0700.304$23.0k+$17.7k
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.4440.615$13.0k+$3.6k
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0250.025$1.1k+$11.95
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.5650.977$941.11+$397.28
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2910.034$580.91$4.5k
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.017$515.15$24.38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.6720.883$383.32+$91.63
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1500.044$324.72$785.42
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0480.074$68.68+$24.56
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1390.097$63.60$27.91
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.9200.964$49.16+$2.24
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$1.9k
Starmer out by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$456.18
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt0.3800.000$0.00$38.0k
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.5k

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 12:30Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.016$179.54
07-07 12:29Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.023$536.04
06-26 10:27Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.026580732$146.72
06-26 10:26Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.018$112.50
06-26 10:25Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.08$535.58
06-12 09:12Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.07$15.40
06-10 19:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.06$945.98
06-10 19:26Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0464945575$39.81
06-10 05:14Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3$1.5k
06-10 05:11Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2862467612$2.9k
06-09 18:40Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.119$5.05
06-09 18:39Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.5641778271$513.77
06-09 18:39Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0892269975$288.34
06-09 18:38Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.546$19.11
06-08 17:22Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.51$220.05