PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BurstedBubble

0x843e32a367156a1e1e0193a36a04e41ae1b4d2f3

Realised P&L
$-32.3k
Volume
$2.26M
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$297.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3690.403$257.4k+$21.0k
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1780.115$26.4k−$14.4k
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.4440.435$4.2k−$82.65
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0350.024$3.1k−$1.5k
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0160.011$2.9k−$1.4k
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.5650.990$953.15+$409.31
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.007$764.54−$1.3k
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.6720.799$346.88+$55.19
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2910.019$338.14−$4.7k
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$318.47−$1.4k
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.4400.260$296.08−$204.48
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0660.067$96.74+$0.73
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1390.079$52.07−$39.44
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.9200.985$50.21+$3.29
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0610.051$49.49−$10.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 11:10Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0349199043$456.66
10-27 20:18Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0321236886$161.83
10-26 10:52Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0491783067$715.82
10-22 11:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4649985804$37.2k
10-22 11:39Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.043$583.50
10-20 12:41Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.1271481481$68.66
10-20 12:35France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?BUY0.979$684.79
10-20 12:33Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.045$235.86
10-19 09:56Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.047$132.07
10-19 09:34Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.19$5.7k
10-19 09:33Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0499917539$1.2k
10-19 09:33Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0477860242$382.16
10-18 09:40Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.19$7.6k
10-18 07:02Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.18$3.9k
10-15 17:31Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.017$83.70