PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Adnadid

0x842d4ea5d72b4dd3a0401fca1b4ac388edcd3ffc

Realised P&L
$9.89
Volume
$715.57
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$38.40

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.9170.949$8.91+$0.30
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.7780.945$8.44+$1.49
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8640.875$6.43+$0.08
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · No0.8750.885$5.87+$0.07
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9500.976$3.85+$0.10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.245$1.57+$0.54
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.847$1.24+$0.07
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.6200.535$1.12$0.18
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1700.165$0.97$0.03
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 10, 2026? · No0.6900.000$0.00$1.00
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00$4.50
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No0.8000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 04:40Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-18 04:36Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.619999876$1.30
09-17 20:42Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.88$2.25
09-17 20:40Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8799999765$3.00
09-17 20:39US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?SELL0.996$8.01
09-15 14:15NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$2.00
09-15 14:12US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?SELL0.998$2.01
09-15 05:06Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.7799998674$2.00
09-15 05:05US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?SELL0.997$1.10
09-14 09:11Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-14 09:08Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-14 09:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.996$2.99
09-12 01:16Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?BUY0.8299993756$1.09
09-12 01:15Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?SELL0.969$1.02
09-11 07:03Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$1.80