Marishi
0x83f6bb71d3d766d7a58e2779792917c632b362f8
- Realised P&L
- $-178.29
- Volume
- $154.4k
- Markets traded
- 379
- Open portfolio
- $760.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded379
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$635.64at 0.689Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$498.76at 0.329Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$487.43at 0.491Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 9?
- +$317.02at 0.150Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$271.31at 0.736Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 02:35 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.49 | $99.43 |
| 09-22 19:04 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.561 | $98.88 |
| 09-22 05:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $300.49 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $100.61 |
| 09-10 16:21 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5746893128 | $146.43 |
| 09-06 16:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.68 | $92.49 |
| 09-06 16:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $95.88 |
| 09-04 14:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $99.80 |
| 09-02 11:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $104.00 |
| 09-01 11:59 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.38 | $103.42 |
| 09-01 06:32 | Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? | SELL | 0.9805882353 | $83.35 |
| 09-01 05:02 | Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? | SELL | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 08-31 16:39 | Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? | SELL | 0.977 | $41.42 |
| 08-31 16:38 | Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? | SELL | 0.98 | $28.91 |
| 08-28 16:27 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $254.74 |