PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marishi

0x83f6bb71d3d766d7a58e2779792917c632b362f8

Realised P&L
$-178.29
Volume
$154.4k
Markets traded
379
Open portfolio
$760.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded379
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7600.740$292.58$7.91
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5650.550$137.57$3.62
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.5390.320$117.39$80.40
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5100.565$111.46+$10.85
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5610.577$101.61+$2.73
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$20.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4780.000$0.00$100.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$99.63
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.6350.000$0.00$100.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$240.16
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00$100.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No0.5300.000$0.00$100.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No0.6420.000$0.00$239.80
Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain0.3300.000$0.00$34.65
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? · No0.0200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 02:35Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.49$99.43
09-22 19:04Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.561$98.88
09-22 05:36Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7599999999$300.49
09-19 20:01Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.51$100.61
09-10 16:21Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.5746893128$146.43
09-06 16:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.68$92.49
09-06 16:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.49$95.88
09-04 14:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5099999988$99.80
09-02 11:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.4$104.00
09-01 11:59Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.38$103.42
09-01 06:32Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?SELL0.9805882353$83.35
09-01 05:02Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?SELL0.99$34.65
08-31 16:39Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?SELL0.977$41.42
08-31 16:38Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?SELL0.98$28.91
08-28 16:27Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$254.74