PolyBot

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Traders

0x83118cb129Cd7c573C98c1fb687B02d87059793b-1783001467045

0x83118cb129cd7c573c98c1fb687b02d87059793b

Realised P&L
$-84.52
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
272
Open portfolio
$42.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded272
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.7080.765$7.51+$0.56
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.2410.248$6.81+$0.20
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.8490.932$3.29+$0.29
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9700.987$3.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · No0.4400.520$2.65+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 19? · No0.9100.925$1.85+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? · No0.5900.600$1.80+$0.03
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3300.340$1.70+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.0700.095$1.51+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19? · No0.7900.840$1.42+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · No0.7300.685$1.37$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19? · No0.6600.660$1.32+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.2200.225$1.30+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20? · Yes0.1100.125$1.29+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20? · No0.8200.815$1.22$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.91$1.82
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.66$1.32
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.11$1.14
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.8299998825$1.06
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.79$1.34
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.59$1.77
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.44$2.24
09-18 18:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?BUY0.82$1.23
09-18 18:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.73$1.46
09-18 15:43Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18?SELL0.999$1.03
09-18 15:30Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.999$1.03
09-18 14:28Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 18?SELL0.998$1.06
09-18 14:25Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?SELL0.995$1.01
09-18 14:12Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 18?SELL0.996$1.06
09-18 13:04Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 18?SELL0.996$1.06