PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PatrickNash2660

0x82aa28e9deed78443973314d080059d3e48d2393

Realised P&L
$33.70
Volume
$537.8k
Markets traded
629
Open portfolio
$208.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded629
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes0.8340.358$179.61−$238.23
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.6500.968$15.49+$5.09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5700.805$4.03+$1.18
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.5801.000$4.00+$1.68
Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4000.065$3.51−$18.09
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1600.700$1.40+$1.08
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes0.1100.046$0.69−$0.96
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2510.061$0.06−$0.19
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.92
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$15.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 04:07Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.49$13.72
04-21 04:05Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.49$339.08
04-21 03:11Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?SELL0.964$389.46
04-21 03:10Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?SELL0.964$555.26
04-21 03:08Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?SELL0.962$290.52
04-13 14:17Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?BUY0.86$1.1k
04-13 14:08Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.59$424.80
04-12 08:24Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?SELL0.61$343.43
04-11 23:37Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?SELL0.03$21.51
04-11 23:33Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?SELL0.24$46.80
04-10 00:03Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$50.40
04-09 17:21Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.15$50.40
04-09 17:01Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?BUY0.82$621.56
04-09 12:57Stripe IPO before 2027?SELL0.89$866.86
04-09 09:11Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.411$470.18