0x828592ae1aebbbd08f080c3fd91e964908020985
0x828592ae1aebbbd08f080c3fd91e964908020985
- Realised P&L
- $8.04
- Volume
- $300.32
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $3.60
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.870 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.670 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.340 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.30 | −$1.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.319Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$4.24at 0.330US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.359Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.22at 0.400Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$2.84at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:41 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:12 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:56 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:42 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:45 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:54 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:01 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |