PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jyttttt

0x81e930b91d3423d231cce7b32623cd4ceac51812

Realised P&L
$931.96
Volume
$622.2k
Markets traded
952
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded952
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9530.980$777.60+$20.99
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6080.645$578.78+$33.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7000.865$429.48+$81.92
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.865$417.46+$103.76
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? · No0.7560.949$283.63+$57.55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7060.853$267.11+$45.94
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6600.645$258.20−$6.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9330.981$251.75+$12.20
Tusk out by December 31? · No0.9200.920$228.02+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6700.825$203.60+$38.13
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · No0.7700.976$172.04+$36.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4300.885$171.20+$88.02
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7800.825$165.33+$9.02
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7700.961$129.91+$25.82
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3400.275$109.23−$25.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:57Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.45$9.00
10-30 15:56Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.55$8.90
10-30 15:10Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?SELL0.17$8.50
10-30 14:58Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.49$49.00
10-29 21:29LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.44$70.13
10-29 21:15LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.34$61.20
10-28 21:56LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.65$11.70
10-27 22:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.53$238.50
10-27 20:05Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.28$151.20
10-27 20:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.24$64.80
10-27 20:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.24$64.80
10-26 22:44Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.729$52.77
10-26 22:06LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.77$69.30
10-26 22:00LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.56$100.80
10-26 20:47LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.27$12.15