PolyBot

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Traders

0x81dd3ed43d3ed9b98e08bafd7094d66e91fad246

0x81dd3ed43d3ed9b98e08bafd7094d66e91fad246

Realised P&L
$-24.20
Volume
$111.21
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$3.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-21.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2800.348$1.24+$0.24
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.2800.265$0.95−$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.7600.675$0.89−$0.11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7600.425$0.56−$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:52Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-03 04:51Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-02 15:46Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-02 07:42Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?BUY0.78$1.00
10-01 23:36Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-01 15:29Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-26 13:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-26 05:44Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-24 20:24Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-18 21:28Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7799999126$1.25
07-23 12:53Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?BUY0.46$4.14
07-23 00:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2469999914$15.00
07-22 12:50Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.7459999684$4.95
07-22 00:49Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.23$2.76
07-21 12:48Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.619999895$1.89