0x810c1B4D2Ce7d1262970E6C15709a323c3209fd5-1760093300109
0x810c1b4d2ce7d1262970e6c15709a323c3209fd5
- Realised P&L
- $24.27
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $236.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.182 | $150.98 | +$79.38 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.041 | $31.61 | −$19.06 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.131 | $21.68 | +$10.35 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.045 | $20.75 | −$19.25 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.095 | $11.44 | −$20.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.28at 0.565UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)
- +$2.73at 0.880Will Trump attend UFC 327?
- +$0.00at 0.820Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$-0.22at 0.910Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
- +$-0.33at 0.1202026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 15:06 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1319998955 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 16:04 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999417 | $1.08 |
| 04-23 16:04 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.08 |
| 04-23 15:19 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.0679999453 | $1.08 |
| 04-23 15:18 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.08 |
| 04-23 14:49 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.061868067 | $1.07 |
| 04-23 14:49 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.083 | $0.08 |
| 04-23 14:48 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0836 | $0.42 |
| 04-23 14:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.53 |
| 04-18 09:02 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0651465928 | $10.33 |
| 04-18 09:01 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.086 | $10.32 |
| 04-17 13:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 17:42 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.0956784234 | $2.44 |
| 04-16 17:42 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.43 |
| 04-15 13:50 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0820000002 | $2.92 |