PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x810c1B4D2Ce7d1262970E6C15709a323c3209fd5-1760093300109

0x810c1b4d2ce7d1262970e6c15709a323c3209fd5

Realised P&L
$24.27
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$236.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0860.182$150.98+$79.38
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0650.041$31.61$19.06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0680.131$21.68+$10.35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0880.045$20.75$19.25
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2630.095$11.44$20.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 15:06Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1319998955$1.00
04-23 16:04China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.0699999417$1.08
04-23 16:04US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.27$1.08
04-23 15:19China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.0679999453$1.08
04-23 15:18US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.27$1.08
04-23 14:49China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.061868067$1.07
04-23 14:49Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.083$0.08
04-23 14:48Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0836$0.42
04-23 14:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.032$0.53
04-18 09:02Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0651465928$10.33
04-18 09:01Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.086$10.32
04-17 13:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.6$10.00
04-16 17:42China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.0956784234$2.44
04-16 17:42US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.27$2.43
04-15 13:50Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0820000002$2.92