PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Specksalam

0x80f1f634ae8f8c9b197279bfa66d5db296f73ccd

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$769.7k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$116.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.8240.875$40.9k+$2.4k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8070.845$16.4k+$737.03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7790.745$10.9k−$497.33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.9150.930$9.1k+$144.08
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8760.885$9.1k+$96.18
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8610.925$8.9k+$614.20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.655$7.9k+$780.00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.2870.225$2.9k−$797.55
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.425$2.5k−$89.93
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4190.672$2.0k+$760.84
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? · Yes0.3130.300$1.3k−$57.84
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · No0.8600.978$1.2k+$145.77
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes0.3260.275$1.1k−$206.77
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No0.3960.968$871.19+$515.19
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0490.029$598.50−$427.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:31NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$136.97
10-10 04:36Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?BUY0.81$4.05
10-09 05:55Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.86$1.1k
10-08 13:40Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?BUY0.315104475$1.3k
10-07 08:13Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.86$0.65
10-07 07:48Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.95$8.5k
10-07 06:44Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?BUY0.28$93.51
10-06 15:42Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.5361149941$40.65
10-05 07:58US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$2.3k
10-05 06:31US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$2.6k
10-04 06:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.95$469.22
10-03 17:44Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.44$74.52
10-02 06:53Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.95$8.5k
09-29 10:54US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$8.7k
09-28 12:52Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.8588830369$10.9k