Specksalam
0x80f1f634ae8f8c9b197279bfa66d5db296f73ccd
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $769.7k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $116.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.136Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.779Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.765Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.081Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.9kat 0.460Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $136.97 |
| 10-10 04:36 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-09 05:55 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.1k |
| 10-08 13:40 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | BUY | 0.315104475 | $1.3k |
| 10-07 08:13 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $0.65 |
| 10-07 07:48 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $8.5k |
| 10-07 06:44 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $93.51 |
| 10-06 15:42 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.5361149941 | $40.65 |
| 10-05 07:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.3k |
| 10-05 06:31 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.6k |
| 10-04 06:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.95 | $469.22 |
| 10-03 17:44 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $74.52 |
| 10-02 06:53 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.5k |
| 09-29 10:54 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.7k |
| 09-28 12:52 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8588830369 | $10.9k |