0x80EEC2B94890cE89905841fC2d78f3f6e7F69128-1760623515372
0x80eec2b94890ce89905841fc2d78f3f6e7f69128
- Realised P&L
- $104.92
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $565.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.552 | $138.55 | +$41.43 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.915 | $109.80 | +$9.00 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.945 | $89.78 | +$9.97 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No | 0.868 | 0.890 | $87.22 | +$2.14 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No | 0.572 | 0.765 | $70.73 | +$17.81 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.925 | $69.38 | +$2.63 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.23at 0.687Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
- +$54.78at 0.624Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
- +$11.27at 0.776Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
- +$10.56at 0.880Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
- +$9.38at 0.885Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 06:01 | Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.55 |
| 09-09 16:16 | Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 08-10 22:05 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $77.44 |
| 07-19 16:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $19.68 |
| 07-17 08:49 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $53.47 |
| 07-17 08:48 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $53.49 |
| 04-06 08:40 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.5778125 | $36.98 |
| 04-06 08:39 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $15.94 |
| 04-05 13:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.378 | $11.13 |
| 04-05 13:43 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $79.80 |
| 04-01 09:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.397 | $16.67 |
| 04-01 09:25 | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | BUY | 0.885 | $15.38 |
| 03-07 18:28 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.26 |
| 02-18 20:44 | Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? | BUY | 0.7962914385 | $96.00 |
| 02-17 18:34 | Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? | SELL | 0.8719836364 | $95.92 |