PolyBot

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Traders

AbleWasIEreISawElba

0x802d29faedcd5d8c40411a48ca78de8c851df484

Realised P&L
$-425.21
Volume
$61.2k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$97.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.5610.340$50.00$32.50
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.8940.910$47.83+$0.83
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$45.00
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$41.00
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? · Yes0.4650.000$0.00$98.79
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$300.26
Will Olandria win Season 7 of Love Island USA? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$10.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$30.00
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$30.00
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$75.00
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ? · No0.2700.000$0.00$45.00
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$10.00
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$281.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 00:35Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.5368682655$60.00
08-21 00:06Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?BUY0.8942917432$47.00
08-20 23:47Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.6371681416$22.50
02-08 23:49Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
02-08 23:49Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
02-08 23:44Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?BUY0.1824536996$10.00
01-20 07:17Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?BUY0.495$59.40
01-20 07:16Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?BUY0.4256191917$39.39
01-20 07:07Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.0821922127$12.64
01-19 02:43Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?BUY0.169999997$41.00
12-20 03:41Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?BUY0.2699999967$45.00
12-20 03:18Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?BUY0.15$45.00
12-17 00:44Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?BUY0.32$75.00
12-17 00:44Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?SELL0.951$69.92
12-17 00:44Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionSELL0.0462177132$6.37