0x7e1456f6ae87e852f22c2dd43895dcd11ff794f0
0x7e1456f6ae87e852f22c2dd43895dcd11ff794f0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.43
- Volume
- $332.45
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $5.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.875 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.705 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.735 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.655 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.655 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.165 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.05at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$4.88at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
- +$4.68at 0.522Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.32at 0.542Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$3.07at 0.623Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:49 | Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:59 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 02:59 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:53 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:27 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4809997869 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:11 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7539999698 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:35 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |