PavlikKul
0x7dbd677158b160003d29c54e9ca431da46b1855e
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No | 0.353 | 0.165 | $467.85 | −$532.15 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.195 | $407.20 | −$592.80 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.775 | $387.50 | +$137.50 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.165 | $191.52 | −$458.48 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.26 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$498.00 |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Mauricio Ruffy | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$646.67at 0.612Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$599.46at 0.625Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
- +$585.21at 0.462Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$468.39at 0.460Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$333.33at 0.600Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 02:49 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 08-31 02:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.56 | $650.00 |
| 08-16 03:31 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 02:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1000.00 |
| 07-20 21:15 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.3526766934 | $1000.00 |
| 07-07 21:41 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4788780843 | $1000.00 |
| 07-02 22:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.997 | $850.71 |
| 06-17 13:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4599999996 | $399.00 |
| 06-04 19:29 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899999985 | $493.37 |
| 05-11 13:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.626996044 | $535.00 |
| 04-29 16:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $498.00 |
| 04-05 17:55 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2465918818 | $54.26 |
| 03-22 00:29 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.6252105806 | $1000.00 |
| 03-02 13:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.5999999998 | $500.00 |
| 02-12 17:17 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting? | BUY | 0.3498469066 | $500.00 |