PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PavlikKul

0x7dbd677158b160003d29c54e9ca431da46b1855e

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$22.2k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3530.165$467.85−$532.15
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4790.195$407.20−$592.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5000.775$387.50+$137.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.165$191.52−$458.48
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00−$54.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$498.00
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry0.2700.000$0.00−$100.00
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Mauricio Ruffy0.3000.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 02:49UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2999999994$100.00
08-31 02:54Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.56$650.00
08-16 03:31UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2699999983$100.00
08-01 02:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$1000.00
07-20 21:15Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.3526766934$1000.00
07-07 21:41Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4788780843$1000.00
07-02 22:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.997$850.71
06-17 13:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4599999996$399.00
06-04 19:29Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.7899999985$493.37
05-11 13:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.626996044$535.00
04-29 16:32US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.58$498.00
04-05 17:55Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2465918818$54.26
03-22 00:29Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.6252105806$1000.00
03-02 13:08Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.5999999998$500.00
02-12 17:17Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?BUY0.3498469066$500.00