lordgamble
0x7d582e9125cc7eaed44aaf6b33789fa73de8462d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $349.2k
- Markets traded
- 712
- Open portfolio
- $801.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded712
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.33at 0.950Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$150.23at 0.570Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
- +$69.16at 0.610Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$40.24at 0.277U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?
- +$22.55at 0.470Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:11 | Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.24 |
| 10-28 23:56 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.944 | $43.30 |
| 10-28 13:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $15.75 |
| 10-28 13:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 10-27 23:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 10-25 23:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.063 | $6.30 |
| 10-24 17:59 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.79 | $48.44 |
| 10-20 21:59 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.53 |
| 10-17 22:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.15 |
| 10-17 21:59 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.56 |
| 10-05 18:04 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $13.50 |
| 10-05 18:03 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.3834258308 | $22.38 |
| 10-02 18:44 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 10-02 13:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 09-30 17:20 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |