PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lordgamble

0x7d582e9125cc7eaed44aaf6b33789fa73de8462d

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$349.2k
Markets traded
712
Open portfolio
$801.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded712
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9300.925$92.50−$0.50
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9200.915$91.50−$0.50
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.605$90.27−$9.73
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.7500.725$72.52−$2.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7000.695$69.51−$0.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3400.335$67.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.7200.695$56.95−$2.05
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? · No0.7400.705$53.20−$2.64
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.870$51.62−$1.19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1340.124$24.90−$1.96
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9000.885$24.20−$0.41
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No0.2800.230$23.00−$5.00
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.1010.095$17.23−$1.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0630.056$11.10−$1.50
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.1500.145$10.40−$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 13:11Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?SELL0.16$0.24
10-28 23:56Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.944$43.30
10-28 13:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.63$15.75
10-28 13:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.75$75.00
10-27 23:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.44$44.00
10-25 23:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.063$6.30
10-24 17:59Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.79$48.44
10-20 21:59Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.11$0.53
10-17 22:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.04$0.15
10-17 21:59Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.77$1.56
10-05 18:04Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?SELL0.45$13.50
10-05 18:03Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.3834258308$22.38
10-02 18:44Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.26$2.60
10-02 13:54Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.18$9.00
09-30 17:20Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.82$41.00