PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fabriksopor

0x7c3941fb6c074f3796af11d49a00aa92947df4f2

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$93.2k
Markets traded
1,445
Open portfolio
$381.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,445
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September? · No0.8140.998$99.75+$18.35
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.2700.315$88.20+$12.60
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · No0.9200.415$34.06−$41.45
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes0.5200.485$29.10−$2.10
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.2600.520$10.40+$5.20
Will SK Artis Brno be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)? · Yes0.3300.335$8.04+$0.12
Will Slovácko be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)? · Yes0.3380.270$6.46−$1.63
Will Marítimo be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga? · Yes0.2900.155$6.20−$5.40
Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · No0.5200.215$5.59−$7.93
Will Werder Bremen be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Yes0.1900.105$4.03−$3.26
Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2100.105$3.55−$3.55
Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.5500.670$3.28+$0.59
Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.3000.155$3.10−$2.90
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.690$3.08+$1.69
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No0.5600.705$3.04+$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:45Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.52$31.20
09-28 05:45Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.27$75.60
09-28 05:44Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.814$81.40
09-28 05:43Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?BUY0.85$93.50
09-27 20:38Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.94$56.40
09-26 22:15Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?SELL0.49$2.94
09-24 14:04Will the Commanders win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.1$1.76
09-24 10:45Will Luka Modric retire before 1 July 2027?SELL0.033$0.40
09-24 07:48Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?SELL0.11$2.20
09-23 17:19Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?SELL0.63$11.04
09-22 06:22Will Drake London have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.01$0.12
09-22 04:01Will Liberia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?SELL0.07$2.78
09-21 18:04Will Drew Mestemaker be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?SELL0.01$0.08
09-21 10:12Will Chris Olave have 1.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.01$0.14
09-21 05:20Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.27$8.10