PolyBot

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Traders

probthinker1

0x7a6b1fd432a1e4232a005eee184a55027d883363

Realised P&L
$22.00
Volume
$649.60
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$54.39

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:38Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.707$1.44
09-18 13:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4299998229$1.02
09-18 12:37Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.489999804$1.05
09-18 11:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4479999438$1.02
09-18 10:362026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.59$1.40
09-18 09:35Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.59$1.36
09-08 10:00Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?BUY0.4199999918$1.03
09-08 09:00Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4399998291$1.03
09-08 07:00Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.58$1.42
09-08 04:59Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.56$1.37
09-04 03:55Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.4599997905$1.01
09-03 12:50Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.4299997639$1.02
09-03 04:49Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4199999266$1.03
09-03 03:48Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.424$1.23
09-02 19:47Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4499998441$1.01