PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Gambler1968

0x7a6192ea6815d3177e978dd3f8c38be5f575af24

Realised P&L
$222.7k
Volume
$5.19M
Markets traded
1,810
Open portfolio
$113.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,810
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$17.4k+$6.4k
Iran leadership change by April 30? · No0.4501.000$7.3k+$4.0k
Iran leadership change by May 31? · No0.4201.000$6.6k+$3.8k
Iran leadership change by June 30? · No0.3701.000$6.1k+$3.8k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.3000.795$4.8k+$3.0k
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.1170.855$4.6k+$3.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$4.6k$6.4k
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · No0.5401.000$4.5k+$2.1k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5010.723$4.1k+$1.3k
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? · No0.4201.000$3.3k+$1.9k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · No0.5101.000$3.2k+$1.6k
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? · No0.4401.000$3.2k+$1.8k
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? · No0.5201.000$3.2k+$1.5k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.3700.905$2.7k+$1.6k
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.3410.996$2.5k+$1.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-31 17:32US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?SELL0.001$2.00
12-31 17:31Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?SELL0.001$1.77
12-31 17:31Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?SELL0.001$5.40
12-31 17:31Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?SELL0.001$4.62
12-25 21:50Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?SELL0.996$4.5k
12-25 19:36Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.91$3.0k
11-04 17:24Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.078$8.89
07-19 20:24Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.009$2.11
07-18 22:29Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$1.04
07-18 22:29Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$1.41
07-18 22:28Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$1.87
07-18 22:28Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.009$0.31
07-18 22:27Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.011$2.58
07-18 22:27Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.011$2.58
07-18 22:27Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.011$1.09