PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

avverti

0x7a4a7cd8069ceac8a95ee2bf557e66871c195133

Realised P&L
$-340.84
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$30.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? · No0.4500.285$5.70−$3.30
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 3.00 to 3.99 ft by November 30? · Yes0.3400.255$5.10−$1.70
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.2200.185$3.70−$0.70
Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.2000.150$3.00−$1.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.1560.144$2.89−$0.23
Will zekken play for LOUD in 2027? · Yes0.2000.130$2.60−$1.40
Will “Storm” by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean win Best Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.1300.145$1.45+$0.15
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.3000.345$1.42+$0.19
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026? · Yes0.1300.070$1.40−$1.20
Will Georgia win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? · Yes0.1400.060$1.20−$1.60
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? · No0.1600.055$1.04−$1.99
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.036$0.72−$1.28
Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.3200.290$0.29−$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.7560.000$0.00−$78.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$16.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 22:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.1247776501$98.26
09-21 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.1299999995$26.41
09-21 21:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.18$105.48
09-21 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.1199999999$36.86
09-21 20:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.3$18.24
09-21 20:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.19$55.10
09-21 20:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.2699999993$57.09
09-21 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.24$38.13
09-21 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.2030516661$37.99
09-21 19:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.25$28.42
09-21 19:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.2794108984$47.43
09-21 19:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.1799999995$47.56
09-21 16:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.2899999993$51.43
09-21 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.71$12.07
09-21 15:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5999999923$15.50