0x7a1f36a133aea18bd1fde95a4843299dd8419f05
0x7a1f36a133aea18bd1fde95a4843299dd8419f05
- Realised P&L
- $-84.73
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $18.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.26at 0.038Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
- +$11.01at 0.075Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?
- +$10.19at 0.034Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?
- +$8.20at 0.025Spread: Republic of Ireland (-2.5)
- +$6.50at 0.023Exact Score: Republic of Ireland 2 - 3 Austria?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:29 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.22 |
| 10-31 16:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.324 | $1.62 |
| 10-31 15:23 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-31 15:22 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.18 | $1.50 |
| 10-31 11:26 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-31 10:44 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-31 10:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | BUY | 0.031 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 05:08 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.73 |
| 10-31 04:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.18 |
| 10-30 15:47 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 09:38 | Will Thailand win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.07 |
| 10-30 09:00 | Will Thailand win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 10-30 04:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 10-29 16:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 10-29 16:43 | Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |