PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7a1f36a133aea18bd1fde95a4843299dd8419f05

Realised P&L
$-8.18
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$15.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.5700.575$2.88+$0.03
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4370.437$2.19+$0.00
Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.0140.019$1.41+$0.40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes0.0210.025$1.18+$0.17
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0470.046$1.00$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.175$0.98$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.1900.170$0.90$0.11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0120.010$0.84$0.17
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September? · Yes0.0590.033$0.56$0.45
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0500.027$0.55$0.46
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · Yes0.0300.015$0.50$0.50
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? · Yes0.0290.013$0.45$0.56
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · Yes0.0380.036$0.41$0.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · Yes0.0210.009$0.41$0.60
Lions vs. Bills · Lions0.3100.075$0.38$1.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:30Lions vs. BillsBUY0.31$1.55
09-17 20:38Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.012$1.01
09-17 20:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.19$1.01
09-17 20:08Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.03$0.28
09-17 20:01Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.014$1.01
09-17 09:00Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.437$2.19
09-17 08:57Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.047$1.01
09-17 08:56Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.57$2.85
09-16 19:53Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.001$1.01
09-16 19:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.18$1.01
09-16 19:43Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?BUY0.029$1.01
09-16 19:39Portland State vs. OregonBUY0.004$1.01
09-16 08:54Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.22$1.10
09-14 19:55Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.021$0.51
09-14 15:53Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.051$1.01