0x7A10bf52f2625d7ff786D363E6f56e06dce494Bc-1778578252920
0x7a10bf52f2625d7ff786d363e6f56e06dce494bc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.88
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $269.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.38at 0.062Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$89.74at 0.098Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$66.77at 0.140Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
- +$34.68at 0.195Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$24.84at 0.160Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 20:25 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0687749241 | $18.00 |
| 08-27 20:23 | Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | BUY | 0.0707310843 | $18.00 |
| 08-27 20:22 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1964047028 | $18.00 |
| 08-23 15:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 15:05 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4261894859 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 15:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.576 | $22.28 |
| 08-23 15:04 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.94 | $112.45 |
| 07-16 14:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999928 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 19:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.329 | $19.35 |
| 07-13 21:12 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 06-21 21:57 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 07:09 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.0834989912 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 07:08 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 07:02 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.0109999945 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 06:54 | Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.26 |