yougottakeepthestep
0x79e7ec5e1a86106307535dc1b391491b919fb82c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $151.3k
- Markets traded
- 5,096
- Open portfolio
- $51.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,096
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.933 | 0.934 | $5.60 | +$0.01 |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.921 | $5.53 | −$0.04 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No | 0.920 | 0.920 | $5.52 | +$0.00 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.915 | $5.49 | +$0.03 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · No | 0.920 | 0.905 | $5.43 | −$0.09 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.890 | $5.34 | +$0.00 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.878 | $5.27 | −$0.01 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $5.25 | +$0.03 |
| UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Natalia Silva | 0.650 | 0.645 | $3.23 | −$0.03 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Bears | 0.340 | 0.345 | $1.73 | +$0.03 |
| Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights · Blackhawks | 0.300 | 0.305 | $1.52 | +$0.03 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers · Canucks | 0.280 | 0.285 | $1.43 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.79at 0.230BitBoy convicted?
- +$63.57at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 1?
- +$55.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
- +$55.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$55.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 22:01 | Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | SELL | 0.65 | $3.90 |
| 09-27 20:47 | UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-27 20:13 | Steelers vs. Browns | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-27 19:25 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.61 | $3.66 |
| 09-27 19:05 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | SELL | 0.77 | $4.62 |
| 09-27 17:13 | UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 09-27 16:00 | Spread: Lions (-14.5) | SELL | 0.73 | $4.38 |
| 09-27 16:00 | Spread: Seahawks (-17.5) | SELL | 0.76 | $4.56 |
| 09-27 16:00 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | SELL | 0.63 | $3.78 |
| 09-27 16:00 | Bengals vs. Steelers | SELL | 0.6 | $3.60 |
| 09-27 12:58 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | SELL | 0.61 | $3.66 |
| 09-27 11:07 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-27 06:44 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.942 | $5.65 |
| 09-27 06:44 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.959 | $5.75 |
| 09-27 06:44 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.9218333333 | $5.53 |