upupupupordwn
0x79e60a35e3d1b0664d418d6cd318fcd9fac6aaa1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $251.1k
- Markets traded
- 5,275
- Open portfolio
- $210.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,275
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.79at 0.204Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$133.48at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$112.00at 0.440Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9?
- +$102.00at 0.060Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$94.00at 0.530Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 03:44 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 05-31 03:31 | Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.942 | $18.84 |
| 05-25 16:11 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.144 | $2.88 |
| 05-22 06:52 | Canva IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.85 |
| 05-18 16:30 | Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.97 | $8.69 |
| 05-14 10:39 | Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.63 |
| 05-13 18:45 | Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.072 | $2.16 |
| 04-16 12:28 | QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 16? | SELL | 0.41 | $54.12 |
| 04-16 12:27 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 04-16 12:18 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 16? | BUY | 0.67 | $65.23 |
| 04-16 12:00 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16? | BUY | 0.3690909091 | $38.55 |
| 04-16 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.02 |
| 04-16 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $1.92 |
| 04-16 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.27 |
| 04-16 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.88 |