Tetonman
0x798fc46ec379422e29fb2ab657f1d55b2f51cef0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $441.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,044
- Open portfolio
- $79.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,044
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$666.78at 0.329Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?
- +$459.37at 0.790Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?
- +$339.09at 0.278Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?
- +$319.86at 0.540Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?
- +$318.32at 0.362Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.929 | $225.46 |
| 07-03 00:17 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.076 | $11.09 |
| 06-28 03:42 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.1118532853 | $1.24 |
| 06-26 21:14 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.084 | $16.16 |
| 06-26 14:20 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.064 | $0.76 |
| 06-26 14:20 | Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 06-26 14:20 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 06-25 12:36 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.27 |
| 06-25 12:35 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.75 |
| 06-25 12:35 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.30 |
| 06-25 12:33 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.77 |
| 06-22 03:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 02:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |