PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Tetonman

0x798fc46ec379422e29fb2ab657f1d55b2f51cef0

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$441.1k
Markets traded
4,044
Open portfolio
$79.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,044
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:45Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.929$225.46
07-03 00:17Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.076$11.09
06-28 03:42Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.1118532853$1.24
06-26 21:14Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.084$16.16
06-26 14:20Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.064$0.76
06-26 14:20Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?SELL0.08$0.40
06-26 14:20Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.005$0.03
06-25 12:36Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.054$1.27
06-25 12:35Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.12$0.75
06-25 12:35Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.027$0.30
06-25 12:33Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.73$0.77
06-22 03:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
06-22 02:21Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-22 00:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
06-22 00:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.98$1.00