zxLightninglxz
0x795db612aa7b509bc70656d2b23a61123a8b8333
- Realised P&L
- $31.76
- Volume
- $58.9k
- Markets traded
- 323
- Open portfolio
- $386.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded323
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? · Yes | 0.899 | 0.905 | $218.42 | +$1.42 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.610 | 0.705 | $115.57 | +$15.57 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026 · OpenAI | 0.940 | 0.515 | $27.39 | −$22.61 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.310 | 0.235 | $24.64 | −$7.86 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84–85°F on May 17? · No | 0.989 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.63at 0.405Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 in August?
- +$61.64at 0.975Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
- +$51.01at 0.671Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$37.58at 0.985Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
- +$32.86at 0.901Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 00:26 | Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? | BUY | 0.8647042046 | $65.00 |
| 10-28 18:27 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in October? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 18:20 | Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $216 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.00 |
| 10-28 18:19 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 10-28 18:15 | Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? | BUY | 0.9244532792 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 18:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October? | BUY | 0.9899999903 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 18:05 | Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $51.00 |
| 10-28 12:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0509999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 03:40 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of October? | BUY | 0.9900792079 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 03:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in October? | BUY | 0.9900792079 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 03:32 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $35 in October? | BUY | 0.9900792079 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 03:31 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.990059553 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 19:59 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 27? | BUY | 0.9801980004 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 19:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on October 27? | BUY | 0.9900891089 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 15:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 in October? | BUY | 0.9900891089 | $10.00 |