PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ab2010

0x794ee00b25562168a7cd57153fde97eec0d1b978

Realised P&L
$-537.56
Volume
$73.7k
Markets traded
1,810
Open portfolio
$44.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,810
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3500.425$6.08+$1.08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4000.395$4.94−$0.06
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.5800.570$2.95−$0.05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2320.165$2.85−$1.15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.1350.190$2.81+$0.81
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0800.085$2.13+$0.13
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.1700.175$2.06+$0.06
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.6000.615$2.05+$0.05
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.2700.275$2.04+$0.04
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.5300.525$1.98−$0.02
Will Jordan win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.5000.495$1.98−$0.02
Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.4900.485$1.98−$0.02
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.6300.620$1.97−$0.03
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.2300.225$1.96−$0.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3100.300$1.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 08:23Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.5799999768$3.00
10-06 08:23Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-06 08:22Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.4$5.00
10-06 08:17Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
10-06 08:17Will Finland win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
10-06 08:16Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
10-06 08:16Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
10-06 08:16Will Jordan win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.5$2.00
10-06 08:16Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-06 08:15Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?BUY0.32$1.00
10-06 08:15Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.59999994$2.00
10-06 08:10Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.1349999983$2.00
10-06 08:10Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.011$0.25
10-06 08:08Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.459$4.29
10-06 08:082026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.26$0.81