ab2010
0x794ee00b25562168a7cd57153fde97eec0d1b978
- Realised P&L
- $-537.56
- Volume
- $73.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,810
- Open portfolio
- $44.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,810
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.61at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?
- +$131.86at 0.051Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$117.66at 0.062Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$115.91at 0.015Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$90.94at 0.021Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:23 | Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 08:23 | Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:22 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 08:17 | Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:17 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:16 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:16 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:16 | Will Jordan win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:16 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 08:15 | Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 08:15 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:10 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1349999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 08:10 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.25 |
| 10-06 08:08 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.459 | $4.29 |
| 10-06 08:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.26 | $0.81 |