PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Harley01

0x7945ad293a7076faefb6e59a566dc6093a0169b0

Realised P&L
$-3.48
Volume
$578.54
Markets traded
219
Open portfolio
$14.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded219
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9300.974$2.09+$0.09
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.956$1.65+$0.65
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.855$1.45+$0.45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.400$1.29$0.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.935$1.23+$0.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.955$1.12+$0.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.983$1.08+$0.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9410.981$1.04+$0.04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5400.555$1.03+$0.03
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · Yes0.5900.605$1.03+$0.03
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3200.128$0.60$0.90
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.185$0.23$0.77
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.095$0.17$0.83
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3340.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 03:24Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
07-01 03:23Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.77$2.00
07-01 03:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.85$2.00
07-01 03:22Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.9399999937$3.00
07-01 03:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3339999419$2.00
07-01 03:18Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
06-22 03:00France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5BUY0.889999911$1.00
06-22 02:58Spread: Morocco (-1.5)BUY0.6099998597$1.00
06-22 02:56Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
06-22 02:55Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.66$1.00
06-21 05:11Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8199999836$3.00
06-21 05:11Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.699999972$5.00
06-21 05:10Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.91$2.00
06-21 05:09Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.889999911$1.00
06-21 05:09Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.9679999884$2.00