Harley01
0x7945ad293a7076faefb6e59a566dc6093a0169b0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.13
- Volume
- $578.54
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $15.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.65at 0.734Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$2.50at 0.192Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$2.23at 0.761Giants vs. Patriots
- +$2.14at 0.700Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.39at 0.720Cardano ETF in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 03:24 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 03:23 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 03:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 03:22 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 03:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3339999419 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 03:18 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999504 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 03:00 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 02:58 | Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 02:56 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 02:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 05:11 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 05:11 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 05:10 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 06-21 05:09 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 05:09 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.9679999884 | $2.00 |