zhiming1
0x78da7d0c4bd689b6d608abb7065f19ed6b8eb975
- Realised P&L
- $-480.1k
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $28.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-27.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.959 | $22.8k | +$2.8k |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.645 | $5.5k | +$537.44 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.075 | $98.68 | −$401.31 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.004 | $5.72 | −$334.28 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.0kat 0.638Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.0kat 0.782Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$9.3kat 0.765Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
- +$4.9kat 0.670US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$3.9kat 0.720Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 12:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.1k |
| 03-24 04:30 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.582399872 | $5.0k |
| 03-07 13:41 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.0k |
| 03-05 14:34 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.6k |
| 03-05 14:34 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.7k |
| 03-05 14:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.3k |
| 03-05 14:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.50596395 | $1.0k |
| 03-04 08:17 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.0k |
| 02-24 06:49 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3499999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-24 08:34 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.1k |
| 01-15 16:31 | Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.61 | $686.57 |
| 01-15 15:57 | Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 01-15 15:56 | Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 01-15 15:56 | Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $442.57 |
| 01-14 05:50 | VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $210.50 |