PolyBot

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Traders

zhiming1

0x78da7d0c4bd689b6d608abb7065f19ed6b8eb975

Realised P&L
$-480.1k
Volume
$1.72M
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$28.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-27.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8400.959$22.8k+$2.8k
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5820.645$5.5k+$537.44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3800.075$98.68$401.31
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2380.004$5.72$334.28
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.5600.000$0.00$5.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 12:19Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?SELL0.82$4.1k
03-24 04:30Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.582399872$5.0k
03-07 13:41Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.8$4.0k
03-05 14:34US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.56$5.6k
03-05 14:34US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.9$2.7k
03-05 14:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.63$6.3k
03-05 14:32Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.50596395$1.0k
03-04 08:17US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.67$10.0k
02-24 06:49Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.3499999986$100.00
01-24 08:34US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.68$3.1k
01-15 16:31Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5SELL0.61$686.57
01-15 15:57Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5BUY0.61$122.00
01-15 15:56Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5BUY0.61$122.00
01-15 15:56Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5BUY0.61$442.57
01-14 05:50VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$210.50