kookies97
0x78d01fedaf1e1a85433320a23eb60b14c2d3a337
- Realised P&L
- $-510.93
- Volume
- $261.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,899
- Open portfolio
- $132.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,899
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.00at 0.004Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 27, 2026?
- +$75.19at 0.059Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 26?
- +$47.45at 0.002Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?
- +$40.14at 0.189Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
- +$36.89at 0.010Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 19:21 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.552 | $2.76 |
| 07-30 07:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 19:35 | 3M Open: Hole-in-One? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 07-25 16:24 | FK Teplice vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.09 | $1.48 |
| 07-25 10:09 | Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 07-19 21:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-17 19:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 07-17 16:09 | Over $65M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 07-17 14:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.32 | $11.43 |
| 07-17 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.15 |
| 07-17 10:12 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.35 |
| 07-08 21:50 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 19:31 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-07 17:19 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.057 | $0.84 |
| 07-07 02:51 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |