kookies97
0x78d01fedaf1e1a85433320a23eb60b14c2d3a337
- Realised P&L
- $-529.15
- Volume
- $263.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,980
- Open portfolio
- $113.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,980
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.00at 0.004Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 27, 2026?
- +$75.19at 0.059Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 26?
- +$47.45at 0.002Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?
- +$40.14at 0.189Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
- +$36.89at 0.010Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 15:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 08-13 10:30 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.1 | $0.68 |
| 08-13 09:49 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.09 | $1.19 |
| 08-12 22:17 | Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 08-12 22:07 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 21:19 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-12 20:29 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-12 20:07 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | SELL | 0.316 | $3.16 |
| 08-12 19:47 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | BUY | 0.616 | $3.08 |
| 08-12 19:14 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-31 19:21 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.552 | $2.76 |
| 07-30 07:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 19:35 | 3M Open: Hole-in-One? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 07-25 16:24 | FK Teplice vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.09 | $1.48 |
| 07-25 10:09 | Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |