Ancapsu
0x788b052f3301d56a82ae973f52d5fa3601ce6287
- Realised P&L
- $-14.22
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $433.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.450 | 0.865 | $414.18 | +$198.71 |
| Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.019 | $11.82 | −$8.18 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.033 | $7.97 | −$21.02 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? · No | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance · Switzerland | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.50 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.67at 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 02:15 | Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31? | BUY | 0.0329999999 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 13:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999991 | $215.47 |
| 07-12 03:15 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0025 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 02:57 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.165 | $19.80 |
| 07-12 02:54 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 07-12 02:51 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2025 | $20.25 |
| 07-05 22:09 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $95.13 |
| 07-05 20:25 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999967 | $29.00 |
| 07-05 20:16 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 06-23 20:48 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1339999925 | $13.41 |