PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Txetg

0x7854acf504e65f9e7a0e6dd3d68d64a246b390a5

Realised P&L
$-12.5k
Volume
$548.8k
Markets traded
1,011
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,011
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026? · No0.7040.725$325.31+$9.31
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? · No0.6190.580$295.17$19.73
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? · Yes0.6200.575$230.00$18.00
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.7500.875$175.00+$25.00
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? · No0.6150.625$168.12+$2.73
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7300.835$167.00+$21.00
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.9110.968$96.75+$5.65
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? · No0.7500.960$95.95+$20.95
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.7500.955$95.50+$20.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8200.935$93.50+$11.50
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8810.921$92.15+$4.05
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026? · No0.8400.802$80.50$3.83
Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026? · No0.7020.760$72.81+$5.52
Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026? · No0.6430.450$54.56$23.40
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026? · No0.6790.625$53.68$4.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 23:36U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.093$0.93
07-29 23:33U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.092$1.84
06-14 01:03Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?BUY0.67$6.09
06-14 01:02Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?BUY0.65$4.42
06-14 01:02Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?BUY0.64$12.80
06-14 00:58Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?BUY0.68$26.15
05-09 22:23Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.74$13.39
04-30 13:00Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?BUY0.983$34.30
04-22 20:32Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?BUY0.5$50.00
04-22 20:31Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?BUY0.49$33.07
04-22 20:30Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?BUY0.78$4.82
04-22 20:30Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?BUY0.78$4.82
04-22 20:30Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?BUY0.79$9.76
04-22 20:29Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?BUY0.67$74.37
04-22 20:29Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?BUY0.83$39.84