0x7852d4823b218620bbb82415d2a288d60eff990f
- Realised P&L
- $-165.74
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $24.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.33at 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$23.68at 0.797Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$17.08at 0.260US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$15.43at 0.167Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.01at 0.2230 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 13:06 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 00:07 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:05 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0485148512 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:05 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:04 | Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0863574936 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:03 | Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0689696507 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | BUY | 0.0226484951 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:58 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:56 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.0075875092 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:52 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 23:51 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.0406539542 | $3.76 |
| 09-08 23:47 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.04056725 | $15.02 |
| 09-08 23:15 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0469999998 | $5.75 |
| 09-08 23:15 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5729861933 | $5.81 |
| 09-08 23:01 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0439999998 | $4.42 |