PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hugopari

0x7804ff0f805d9c5fe476c5c729c1e41f778e2d8e

Realised P&L
$-33.77
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$510.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8000.845$169.00+$9.00
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.5600.700$140.00+$28.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9700.975$97.45+$0.45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? · Yes0.7600.650$65.00−$11.00
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No0.7500.775$38.75+$1.25
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · No0.6720.000$0.00−$120.90
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No0.5550.000$0.00−$321.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 07:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?BUY0.987$154.94
09-22 12:42Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELL0.9913128$99.13
09-14 18:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.14$21.00
09-11 15:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.82$410.00
09-01 05:39Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.63$80.90
08-31 13:49Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.86$21.17
08-29 14:15Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.67$16.42
08-29 11:41Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.713$6.20
08-24 12:22Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?BUY0.9878484628$300.00
08-12 07:16Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?SELL0.7630003$76.29
08-09 14:44Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?BUY0.9883982627$100.00
08-08 21:20Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?BUY0.9349999997$100.00
08-08 20:50Will Rodri join Barcelona?BUY0.9006773981$200.00
08-07 12:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8848552966$300.00
08-07 10:30Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.9715878346$510.66