Elcappero
0x77da4e173aa52297e6a9c3b63601f6ef3afffb17
- Realised P&L
- $7.83
- Volume
- $335.02
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $43.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.05at 0.270Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$6.54at 0.437Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$5.07at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.70at 0.521Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$3.62at 0.736Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 15:57 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:53 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 15:52 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 15:52 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 15:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 09:12 | Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 09:12 | Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 09:10 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 09:09 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 09:09 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 13:47 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 13:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1639998891 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 12:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 12:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.13 |