PolyBot

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Traders

Lemurion

0x77d48aac86bea8a954da4262334bbc0d7b5c3983

Realised P&L
$-7.5k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
751
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded751
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.789$1.8k+$665.85
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.210$505.20$694.80
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.3540.075$4.23$15.71
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2200.040$3.95$18.04
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.035$3.45$3.55
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.2880.006$0.44$20.56
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1400.022$0.23$1.18
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva · Marta Kostyuk0.0630.000$0.00$0.95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverev0.9200.000$0.00$9.20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · Felix Auger-Aliassime0.9400.000$0.00$9.39
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$37.00
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of May 18 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul · Alex de Minaur0.9400.000$0.00$4.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 17:33Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$8.00
06-10 12:10Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$8.00
06-10 11:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$3.00
06-10 11:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$1.00
06-09 17:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$5.00
06-05 20:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
06-05 20:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.75
06-05 20:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.014$1.40
06-05 20:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
06-05 20:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
06-05 14:54Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevSELL0.142$4.83
05-22 16:50Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-22 16:44Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy PaulBUY0.94$4.69
04-16 14:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16?SELL0.22$12.10
04-16 13:14Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 16?BUY0.049004234$4.52