Lemurion
0x77d48aac86bea8a954da4262334bbc0d7b5c3983
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 751
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded751
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.769Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines
- +$2.3kat 0.519Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)
- +$1.8kat 0.743Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$1.1kat 0.507Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)
- +$668.65at 0.860Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtseva
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 17:33 | Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 06-10 12:10 | Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 06-10 11:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 11:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 17:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 20:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 20:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 06-05 20:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 06-05 20:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 20:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 14:54 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.142 | $4.83 |
| 05-22 16:50 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 16:44 | Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 04-16 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16? | SELL | 0.22 | $12.10 |
| 04-16 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 16? | BUY | 0.049004234 | $4.52 |